II. Decision Science · Volume II

Simulate the decision before you live it.

Monte Carlo simulators and multi-variable calculators for life's biggest forks — career, education, relocation, and life transitions. Grounded in prospect theory, regret minimization, and behavioral economics.

4 Tools in development
Q3 First release
10K+ Simulations per decision
0 Data stored
§I. The Tools

Not advice. Arithmetic.

Every tool turns a gut-check into a multi-variable simulation. The output isn't a verdict — it's a structured view of what you're already weighing.

Tool 002 · In Development

Career Switch ROI

Model the 5-year financial and career trajectory of switching fields — salary curves, reskilling costs, seniority reset, and opportunity cost versus staying.

Coming soon
Tool 003 · In Development

Grad School Worth It?

NPV analysis of a graduate degree — tuition, foregone earnings, expected salary lift, field-specific ROI. For MBA, MS, PhD, MD, JD, and MPH paths.

Coming soon
Tool 004 · In Development

Big Move Simulator

Should you relocate? Models cost of living, tax differential, career access, social capital loss, and hedonic adaptation against your current location.

Coming soon
Tool 005 · In Development

Side Hustle Viability

Calculate realistic break-even timelines for a side project — capital requirements, hour economics, customer acquisition reality, and the probability of crossing to full-time.

Coming soon
§II. Methodology

How Crossroads tools are built.

Three principles shape every simulator in this laboratory. They are what separates decision arithmetic from opinion dressed in numbers.

i.

Ranges, not verdicts

Real decisions involve uncertainty. Every tool runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations to produce a range of likely outcomes — not a false-precision single answer. You see the shape of the decision, not a false verdict.

ii.

Behaviorally aware

Our models account for known cognitive distortions — loss aversion, sunk-cost thinking, hedonic adaptation, planning fallacy — rather than assuming you're a rational agent. The tools are more honest because they acknowledge you aren't.

iii.

Published foundations

Every weight, every distribution, every assumption traces back to peer-reviewed research — Kahneman & Tversky, Maslach, Bureau of Labor Statistics cohort data, Harvard Business Review longitudinal studies. Cited inline, not hidden.

§III. Continue Reading

Other laboratories in the publication.

LifeByLogic is organized into four labs, each focused on a different dimension of the examined life.